Voter Registration Report – October, 2013

 

Oct.VoterMonthly voter registrations numbers were released this week. The loss in membership of the Democratic and Republican Parties continues. And the Independent Party again showed significant gains, indicating perhaps that September’s loss of members was an anomaly.

The October winners and losers:

  • Democratic Party down by 1, 772 members.
  • Republican Party down 2,191 members. That’s even more than the D’s lost, and  from a smaller base  to start with.
  • Non Affiliated Voters increased by just 215. One of the smaller gains in recent months. But still a gain when overall registrations are dropping.
  • The Independent Party of Oregon was the big winner in October, up by 1,194 members. An increase of 1.22% in just one month.
  • “All others” decreased by 33 voters. Of those other minor parties and “others”, the Working Families Party which had seen large increases in membership, lost a few members in October, Giving back some of the large gains they’ve made over the last 11 months. However, they still remain at under 9,000 total members.

The long term trends:

 

Party_______Dec, 2012_________ October 2013       _______+/-_________+/-%

 

Dem                 870,500                     846,893               (23,607)            (2.74%)

 

Rep.                 682,731                     665,380              (17,351)            (2.54%)

 

NAV                 492,419                      496,282              +3,863              +.78%

 

IPO                   95,394                       98,359                +2,965              +3.11%

 

Other Minor      58,464                       62,080                 + 3,616              +6.18%

 

TOTAL VOTER   2,199,508           2,168,994                    30,514              (1.39%)

Notes on long term trends:

  • The total  Oregon voter registrations from 12/12 to 10/13 decreased by 30,514, or 1.39%. The Democratic and Republican Parties are losing members at almost twice the “natural” rate.
  • The NAV’s are up .78% and the IPO is up 3.11%, not only holding their own in a decreasing total voter registration, but bucking that trend. And, with the IPO gaining as many registrants as NAV, one may question whether independent minded voters are intentionally joining a third party at this point, or if that many people who register don’t understand the difference between checking the box marked “Independent Party” or “Not Affiliated with a Party”.
  • While some of the prior month Democratic losses could have been attributable to the growth of the union financed and operated Working Families Party, which draws on a Democratic leaning population and which has gained over 4,000 voters since 12/12) both the WFP and the Democratic Party lost members in October.

 

Comments

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  2. […] that 27% considered themselves Republican, 34% Democrat and 36% independent. Oregon has seen the same movement away from the major parties, with more and more Oregonians registering as non affiliated or as  minor party members, […]

  3. […] Republican voters make up 30% of registered voters and Democratic voters account for almost 40%. As Democratic and Republican voter shares continue to fall while non affiliated and minor voter registrations continue to climb. And, new voters – those […]

  4. […] that 27% considered themselves Republican, 34% Democrat and 36% independent. Oregon has seen the same movement away from the major parties, with more and more Oregonians registering as non affiliated or as  minor party members, […]

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