Monthly voter registrations numbers were released this week. The loss in membership of the Democratic and Republican Parties continues. And the Independent Party again showed significant gains, indicating perhaps that September’s loss of members was an anomaly.
The October winners and losers:
- Democratic Party down by 1, 772 members.
- Republican Party down 2,191 members. That’s even more than the D’s lost, and from a smaller base to start with.
- Non Affiliated Voters increased by just 215. One of the smaller gains in recent months. But still a gain when overall registrations are dropping.
- The Independent Party of Oregon was the big winner in October, up by 1,194 members. An increase of 1.22% in just one month.
- “All others” decreased by 33 voters. Of those other minor parties and “others”, the Working Families Party which had seen large increases in membership, lost a few members in October, Giving back some of the large gains they’ve made over the last 11 months. However, they still remain at under 9,000 total members.
The long term trends:
Party_______Dec, 2012_________ October 2013 _______+/-_________+/-%
Dem 870,500 846,893 (23,607) (2.74%)
Rep. 682,731 665,380 (17,351) (2.54%)
NAV 492,419 496,282 +3,863 +.78%
IPO 95,394 98,359 +2,965 +3.11%
Other Minor 58,464 62,080 + 3,616 +6.18%
TOTAL VOTER 2,199,508 2,168,994 30,514 (1.39%)
Notes on long term trends:
- The total Oregon voter registrations from 12/12 to 10/13 decreased by 30,514, or 1.39%. The Democratic and Republican Parties are losing members at almost twice the “natural” rate.
- The NAV’s are up .78% and the IPO is up 3.11%, not only holding their own in a decreasing total voter registration, but bucking that trend. And, with the IPO gaining as many registrants as NAV, one may question whether independent minded voters are intentionally joining a third party at this point, or if that many people who register don’t understand the difference between checking the box marked “Independent Party” or “Not Affiliated with a Party”.
- While some of the prior month Democratic losses could have been attributable to the growth of the union financed and operated Working Families Party, which draws on a Democratic leaning population and which has gained over 4,000 voters since 12/12) both the WFP and the Democratic Party lost members in October.